Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.006541 0.007298 0.008122 0.009089 0.010195 0.011425 0.012901
2025-06-01 0.005278 0.006295 0.007493 0.009022 0.010934 0.013267 0.016360
2025-06-08 0.004457 0.005545 0.006894 0.008712 0.011125 0.014264 0.018728
2025-06-15 0.003998 0.005147 0.006634 0.008728 0.011654 0.015673 0.021750
2025-06-22 0.003752 0.004980 0.006628 0.009048 0.012588 0.017706 0.025908
2025-06-29 0.003393 0.004614 0.006302 0.008863 0.012756 0.018627 0.028512
2025-07-06 0.003093 0.004296 0.006004 0.008674 0.012872 0.019455 0.031056
2025-07-13 0.002887 0.004092 0.005845 0.008666 0.013252 0.020720 0.034496
2025-07-20 0.002767 0.004001 0.005842 0.008890 0.014015 0.022694 0.039477
2025-07-27 0.002589 0.003806 0.005661 0.008806 0.014248 0.023780 0.042988
2025-08-03 0.002448 0.003657 0.005536 0.008799 0.014606 0.025119 0.047199
2025-08-10 0.002300 0.003485 0.005360 0.008685 0.014754 0.026080 0.050789
2025-08-17 0.002197 0.003383 0.005300 0.008782 0.015328 0.027986 0.056885
2025-08-24 0.002071 0.003237 0.005155 0.008716 0.015597 0.029346 0.062098
2025-08-31 0.001918 0.003033 0.004896 0.008419 0.015378 0.029669 0.064957
2025-09-07 0.001831 0.002935 0.004812 0.008435 0.015781 0.031359 0.071494
2025-09-14 0.001797 0.002924 0.004878 0.008742 0.016812 0.034577 0.082689
2025-09-21 0.001693 0.002785 0.004705 0.008564 0.016801 0.035424 0.087740
2025-09-28 0.001597 0.002655 0.004537 0.008382 0.016757 0.036188 0.092744
2025-10-05 0.001533 0.002575 0.004459 0.008375 0.017099 0.037935 0.101072
2025-10-12 0.001501 0.002554 0.004487 0.008590 0.017971 0.041145 0.114787
2025-10-19 0.001435 0.002465 0.004381 0.008509 0.018142 0.042574 0.123191
2025-10-26 0.001382 0.002398 0.004312 0.008503 0.018491 0.044535 0.133972